Tunisia country watch
Signals only — no written briefing yet. Every number links to the articles it counts.
Vigilance
No active vigilance flag · rules: Heightened vigilance for staff and travel · Pressure surge · Media polarisation spike
Flare-up watch
Watch (1.4) — driven by internal tension and safety & health
- Internal tension far above its usual level (+2.4)
- Safety & health above its usual level (+1.5)
- Media attention around its usual level (+0.2)
Signals consistent with rising crisis risk. A composite of press signals, not a forecast.
Composite of the day's departure scores (z) against the country's own history — internal tension 0.25, safety & health 0.20, agenda divergence 0.20, framing gap 0.15, media attention 0.20; a missing component drops out and the others are renormalised. Calm below 1.2 · Watch to 1.5 · High above. Needs 14 days of history on two components. Method →
Risk pressure, last 30 days
| Risk category | Level | Articles, 30 days | Baseline | Change vs previous 30 days (articles) | Last signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regulatory risk | High | 70 | 10 | ▲ +60 | Le contrôle fiscal a rapporté 4,47 Mds DT, en hausse de 2,3 % African Manager |
| Operational risk | High | 26 | 7 | ▲ +19 | Frequent disruptions in water and electricity supply: Steg and Sonede, two sides of the same coin! La Presse |
| Stability risk | High | 26 | 8 | ▲ +18 | Vandalism in transport: 4 million dinars in damages! African Manager |
| Safety & health risk | Elevated | 16 | 9 | ▲ +7 | Animal health: Dr. Ahmed Rajeb provides an update on the progression of bluetongue disease in Tunisia La Presse |
| Corporate risk | High | 19 | 1 | ▲ +18 | Simpar: Fewer construction sites, more sales African Manager |
| Financial risk | High | 48 | 10 | ▲ +38 | Bourse : Le marché termine la séance de mardi dans le vert African Manager |
| Trade risk | High | 118 | 22 | ▲ +96 | 3 phases of customs digitization completed in 2027 African Manager |
| Political risk | High | 133 | 12 | ▲ +121 | Consommation : Premier succès pour les prix réduits La Presse |
Its press also carried 96 foreign-subject articles in these 30 days — counted out of the levels above. Behind the numbers ↓
Pressure index: Surging (+1.9) — driven by internal tension
Easing ≤ −0.5 · Normal to +1.6 · Rising to +1.8 · Surging above — the 30-day pressure read against the country's own history.
Level = risk-flavoured articles in the country's own press over the last 30 days — what its outlets reported, wherever the story happened — against the country's own baseline (mean of the previous three 30-day windows). Quiet 0 · Low up to the baseline · Elevated up to twice the baseline · High above. Counts, not severities: a press signal, not a rating. Every row links to the articles counted. Titles shown translated are model translations; the others appear in their original language — each link opens the original article. Method →
Behind the numbers
On November 3, 2026, Tunisia's local press focused on domestic economic and political issues, highlighting the country's ranking as 'repressed' and discussing the upcoming budget for 2027. Foreign news included Morocco's plans to regulate food exports.
The headlines, translated:
- Morocco: The government plans to regulate food exports abroad African Manager
- 156th out of 176, the Tunisian economy classified as "repressed" African Manager
- Immigration to Canada: starting today, new rules that also concern Tunisians La Presse
- Midterm elections: A vote that could disrupt Trump's presidency abroad African Manager
- Successful early closure of subscriptions to the subordinated bond loan "STB Subordinated 2026" of 150 million dinars African Manager
- 3 phases of customs digitization completed in 2027 African Manager
- 10% increase in the Finance budget to 1,626.6 MDT African Manager
- Budget 2027: first plenaries on November 9 and 10 African Manager
- Community: The state waters, the ground remains dry African Manager
- State budget for 2027: The main axes and priorities leaders.com.tn
- The ARP office refers 9 projects to committee African Manager
- A new practical guide from the CMF leaders.com.tn
- Budget projects: The requirements of a strategic pivot La Presse
- Tunisia-Senegal: Partnership for commercial cooperation African Manager
- Tunisia: The budget for Industry, Mines and Energy increases by 48.2% for 2027 La Presse
- The Israeli opposition meets to decide how to oust Netanyahu abroad African Manager
- PLF 2027: Expected increase in the Ministry of Industry budget by 48.2% in 2027 African Manager
- Tunisia: a loan of 30 million dollars to STEG submitted to Parliament La Presse
- 8% increase in the budget of the Presidency of the Republic African Manager
- Khaldi calls for help from 3 ministries against the parallel economy African Manager
- Kaïs Saïed: "No concession on the slightest millime belonging to the people" La Presse
Model-written from the day's stored headlines, nothing added — each line links the original article. A reading aid, not a briefing. Method →
Attention: Tunisia in the world's press
Yesterday 355 articles · 10% below the 30-day average · today so far 1 · led by the press of Tunisia, Benin, Mozambique, Cameroon, Costa Rica
Articles mentioning the country across the outlets we read, vs the 30-day average. Method →
Media polarisation
Shown from 14 days of data · 0 days collected so far
Media we read
20 outlets read every day
- African Manager · independent
- Al Chourouk · independent
- Aljarida · independent
- AlMasdar.tn · independent
- Assabah · independent
- Attounissia · independent
- BusinessNews.com.tn · independent
- Espace Manager · independent
- Foot Plus · independent
- Jawhara FM · independent
- Kapitalis · independent
- La Presse · independent
- Le Temps · independent
- leaders.com.tn · independent
- Shems FM · independent
- TAP · state
- TN Tunisie Numerique · independent
- Tuniscope.com · independent
- Tunivisions · independent
- WMC · independent
Signals of 3 November 2026
At home
Regulation
- Le contrôle fiscal a rapporté 4,47 Mds DT, en hausse de 2,3 % ↗ African Manager · independent
- Successful early closure of subscriptions to the subordinated bond loan "STB Subordinated 2026" of 150 million dinars ↗ African Manager · independent
- A new practical guide from the CMF ↗ leaders.com.tn · independent
- Immigration to Canada: starting today, new rules that also concern Tunisians ↗ La Presse · independent
- Tunisia: a loan of 30 million dollars to STEG submitted to Parliament ↗ La Presse · independent
Markets
- Bourse : Le marché termine la séance de mardi dans le vert ↗ African Manager · independent
- Kiosque international ↗ La Presse · independent
Trade
- 3 phases of customs digitization completed in 2027 ↗ African Manager · independent
- Khaldi calls for help from 3 ministries against the parallel economy ↗ African Manager · independent
- Tunisia-Senegal: Partnership for commercial cooperation ↗ African Manager · independent
Politics
- Consommation : Premier succès pour les prix réduits ↗ La Presse · independent
- 10% increase in the Finance budget to 1,626.6 MDT ↗ African Manager · independent
- 156th out of 176, the Tunisian economy classified as "repressed" ↗ African Manager · independent
- Community: The state waters, the ground remains dry ↗ African Manager · independent
- PLF 2027: Expected increase in the Ministry of Industry budget by 48.2% in 2027 ↗ African Manager · independent
- Tunisia: The budget for Industry, Mines and Energy increases by 48.2% for 2027 ↗ La Presse · independent
- Budget projects: The requirements of a strategic pivot ↗ La Presse · independent
- State budget for 2027: The main axes and priorities ↗ leaders.com.tn · independent
- 8% increase in the budget of the Presidency of the Republic ↗ African Manager · independent
- The ARP office refers 9 projects to committee ↗ African Manager · independent
- Budget 2027: first plenaries on November 9 and 10 ↗ African Manager · independent
- Kaïs Saïed: "No concession on the slightest millime belonging to the people" ↗ La Presse · independent
Abroad, in its press
Trade
- Morocco: The government plans to regulate food exports ↗ African Manager · independent
Politics
- Midterm elections: A vote that could disrupt Trump's presidency ↗ African Manager · independent
- The Israeli opposition meets to decide how to oust Netanyahu ↗ African Manager · independent