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The Geopolitician

Country risk, from the local press

Argentina · Country watch

Milei's Fiscal Surplus; Wholesale Inflation Rises

Argentina reports a significant fiscal surplus in September, while wholesale inflation accelerates, impacting business costs.

· · 10 sources

The picture Deteriorating

Business conditions in Argentina are deteriorating due to rising wholesale inflation and increased tensions from legal actions against protesters. Fiscal surplus offers some stability but is overshadowed by unrest.

In this briefing Ministry of Security · INDEC · Javier Milei · National Public Sector

Regulation

Nothing significant reported today.

Disruption

Nothing significant reported today.

Internal tension

  • public-sector

Government files charges against university protesters

a large group of people standing on top of a street
Agustín Anichini / Unsplash

The Argentine government has filed criminal charges against participants in the Federal University March, citing incidents of violence and resistance against authorities, according to La Gaceta. The Ministry of Security's legal team initiated the charges, which include allegations of aggravated damage and threats to constitutional order. This escalation follows recent protests over education funding and adds to the ongoing tensions between the government and the education sector.

Impact Public-sector employers and educational institutions face heightened tensions and potential disruptions due to legal actions against protesters.

Sources: La Gaceta ↗, Cronica ↗

Safety & health

Nothing significant reported today.

Companies

Nothing significant reported today.

Markets

  • energy
  • manufacturing
  • retail

Wholesale inflation rises to 3.2% in September

Argentina's wholesale inflation rose 3.2% in September, driven by a 15% increase in crude oil and gas prices, according to INDEC. This marks an acceleration from the 2.1% rate in August. The year-to-date increase stands at 22.8%, with an annual rise of 29.2%. Imported products increased by only 0.4%, while domestic products saw a 3.4% rise. The data indicates that energy prices significantly impacted the overall inflation rate, as reported by El Intransigente and Clarin.

Impact Manufacturers and retailers face increased costs due to rising energy prices, impacting pricing strategies and margins.

Sources: El intransigente ↗, Clarin ↗, Cronica ↗, Perfil.com ↗

Trade

Nothing significant reported today.

Politics

  • finance
  • public-sector

Milei's government posts $1.4 trillion fiscal surplus

Argentina's government, led by President Javier Milei, recorded a fiscal surplus of $1.4 trillion in September, according to La Gaceta. The National Public Sector achieved a financial surplus of $977.173 million, contributing to a primary balance of 1.2% of GDP for the first nine months of 2026. The surplus follows reforms aimed at reducing subsidies and improving fiscal management. This financial performance strengthens the government's fiscal position amid ongoing economic challenges.

Impact Lenders and public-sector entities see improved fiscal stability, potentially affecting credit ratings and borrowing costs.

Sources: La Gaceta ↗, La Derecha Diario ↗

Also today in Argentina

Sources in this briefing

Sources: each headline links to the original article on the publisher's site.

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