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Tuesday, 10 November 2026English edition
The Geopolitician

Country risk, from the local press

Brazil · Story · Markets

Brazil's inflation and Selic rate developments

Brazil's inflation forecast for 2026 has risen to 4.92%, while the Selic rate remains steady at 13.75% after recent cuts and political changes.

Running story — the local press covered it again on 5 November 2026.

The story so far as of 5 November 2026

On 21 September, Brazil's inflation forecast for 2026 was raised to 4.92% by the Banco Central's Boletim Focus, alongside a projected Selic rate reduction to 13.50%. On 4 November, the Copom was expected to maintain the Selic rate at 13.75% amid fiscal uncertainty. The following day, the Banco Central confirmed the Selic rate at 13.75%, marking a pause after five consecutive cuts, with industry leaders calling for further reductions.

Flare-up watch: Calm (0.6) · Active flag: Heightened vigilance for staff and travel · How this is judged → · All Brazil briefings →

Coverage, day by day

  1. Markets

    Banco Central holds Selic rate at 13.75%

    Impact Lenders and borrowers in Brazil face continued high borrowing costs as the Selic rate remains unchanged.

    Sources: G1 ↗

  2. Markets

    Copom expected to maintain Selic rate at 13.75%

    Impact Lenders and borrowers face continued high borrowing costs as the Selic rate remains unchanged.

    Sources: Folha de S.Paulo ↗, O Globo ↗, AgenciaBrasil ↗

  3. Markets

    Brazil's inflation forecast rises to 4.92% for 2026

    Impact Lenders and borrowers in Brazil face a higher inflation outlook, affecting interest rate expectations and financial planning.

    Sources: CNN Brasil ↗, AgenciaBrasil ↗, O Globo ↗, Folha de S.Paulo ↗

Sources in this story

Sources: each headline links to the original article on the publisher's site.

Other running stories in Brazil

All stories → · All Brazil briefings →