Friday, October 9, 2026English edition
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Country risk, from the local press

Brazil · Country watch

ANP Auction Raises $3B, El Niño Risks, Industrial Decline

Brazil's oil auction raises $3 billion, El Niño poses risks to children, and industrial output declines in key regions.

The picture Deteriorating

Business conditions in Brazil are deteriorating due to El Niño risks affecting public health and education, and a decline in industrial production impacting manufacturing and supply chains.

In this briefing Unicef · Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística · Agência Nacional do Petróleo, Gás Natural e Biocombustíveis · Petrobras

Regulation

Nothing significant reported today.

Disruption

Nothing significant reported today.

Internal tension

Nothing significant reported today.

Safety & health

  • public-sector

El Niño threatens 30 million Brazilian children

a large group of people in yellow and green shirts
Matheus Câmara da Silva / Unsplash

Unicef warns that over 30 million Brazilian children are at risk from the impacts of the 2026–2027 El Niño, one of the strongest since 1950. The phenomenon could lead to severe acute malnutrition, cholera, dengue, and malaria outbreaks, as well as disruptions in essential health services and vaccine cold chains, according to AgenciaBrasil. The report highlights that six in ten children face multiple climate-related risks, with 16 million exposed to three or more.

Impact Public health and education sectors face increased pressure as El Niño risks affect millions of children.

Sources: Folha de S.Paulo ↗, A Tarde ↗, AgenciaBrasil ↗

Companies

Nothing significant reported today.

Markets

  • manufacturing

Industrial production declines in key regions

Industrial production in Brazil fell in ten out of 15 regions in August compared to July, according to the IBGE. São Paulo, the country's largest industrial hub, saw a 0.2% decline. More significant drops occurred in Amazonas (-5.7%), Pará (-7.3%), and the Northeast (-2.3%). The data highlights ongoing challenges in the industrial sector, which could impact supply chains and economic growth.

Impact Manufacturers and supply chain managers face challenges as industrial output declines in key regions.

Sources: Jornal de Brasília ↗

Trade

  • energy

ANP raises R$ 3 billion in oil block auction

The Agência Nacional do Petróleo, Gás Natural e Biocombustíveis (ANP) raised R$ 3 billion in its 6th cycle of the Permanent Offer of Concessions, selling 49 oil and gas exploration blocks. The auction, held on October 7, is expected to lead to R$ 4.5 billion in investments during the exploration phase, according to AgenciaBrasil. Petrobras was a significant player, securing several blocks and paying the highest premiums. The blocks are located in various basins, including Potiguar and Campos.

Impact Oil and gas investors gain new exploration opportunities with R$ 4.5 billion in expected investments.

Sources: AgenciaBrasil ↗, O Globo ↗, Jornal de Brasília ↗

Politics

Nothing significant reported today.

Also today in Brazil

Sources in this briefing

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